Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
1º
27
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAS
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
NAS
2 - 0
FKO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
AIN
2 - 1
NAS
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NAS
0 - 0
AIN
21%
22%
57%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAS
0 - 2
TER
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 1
TER
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUN
1 - 3
QIZ
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 1
MIL
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 1
QIZ
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
QIZ
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |