Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba Maykop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
8º
37
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 50 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 48 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 34 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
75% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nart Cherkessk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
ROS
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 3
NCH
16%
18%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NCH
2 - 3
FOT
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SKS
2 - 1
NCH
48%
22%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NCH
0 - 3
RUB
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Druzhba Maykop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 1
DMA
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DMA
3 - 1
DDA
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FOT
3 - 1
DMA
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DMA
1 - 0
SKS
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RUB
1 - 0
DMA
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |