Narnese Calcio vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narnese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
ANC
63%
19%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ANC
1 - 1
FOL
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
ANC
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 1
ANC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ANC
3 - 3
FLA
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 0
OST
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
ARZ
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
3 - 2
SCA
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BAS
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VFC
0 - 1
ARZ
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |