Nardò vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TAR
2 - 1
NAR
78%
16%
6%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NAR
0 - 0
USB
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SOR
2 - 1
NAR
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 1
POM
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FCF
1 - 0
NAR
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
FIA
20%
25%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 1
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
HYR
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ASF
2 - 1
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |