Narcea vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
POD
2 - 1
NAR
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NAR
3 - 0
HIS
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 1
NAR
25%
24%
51%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LUA
1 - 2
NAR
79%
15%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 1
TAP
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUA
8%
16%
76%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TAP
1 - 2
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 4
GOZ
23%
23%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BOS
5 - 1
CAS
65%
19%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |