Narcea vs Muros Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
MCU
2 - 3
NAR
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
SAL
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
TRE
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 1
NAR
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
MCU
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Muros Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
MCU
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAL
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 1
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 1
NAR
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MCU
0 - 2
MUR
62%
20%
18%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |