Nara-ShBFR vs T. Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
VOR
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 2
NAR
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
DIK
0 - 0
NAR
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 1
VOL
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 0
FKZ
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
T. Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
IST
1 - 1
TOR
45%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
4 - 0
DNE
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
4 - 1
LOK
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
SHC
1 - 1
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
DVO
2 - 1
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |