Napoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 0
NAP
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 3
INT
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 2
NAP
23%
23%
53%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAR
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
NAP
4 - 0
GNK
60%
20%
20%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
PRG
0 - 1
VNZ
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
PRG
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PRG
2 - 0
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
USC
2 - 1
PRG
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
PRG
2 - 2
NUO
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |