Champions League Grupo C. Jor. 4

Napoli vs PSG analysis

Napoli PSG
89 ELO 90
14.3% Tilt 8.4%
23º General ELO ranking 37º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.5%
Napoli
23.1%
Draw
39.5%
PSG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Napoli
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.5%
Win probability
PSG
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
-6%
+12%
PSG

ELO progression

Napoli
PSG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2018
NAP
Napoli
5 - 1
Empoli
EMP
83%
12%
5%
89 75 14 0
28 Oct. 2018
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
53%
22%
25%
89 88 1 0
24 Oct. 2018
PSG
PSG
2 - 2
Napoli
NAP
64%
19%
17%
89 90 1 0
20 Oct. 2018
UDI
Udinese
0 - 3
Napoli
NAP
17%
21%
62%
89 76 13 0
07 Oct. 2018
NAP
Napoli
2 - 0
Sassuolo
SAS
79%
14%
7%
89 80 9 0

Matches

PSG
PSG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2018
PSG
PSG
2 - 1
Lille
LIL
86%
10%
4%
90 81 9 0
28 Oct. 2018
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 2
PSG
PSG
21%
21%
58%
90 85 5 0
24 Oct. 2018
PSG
PSG
2 - 2
Napoli
NAP
64%
19%
17%
90 89 1 0
20 Oct. 2018
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Amiens SC
AMI
91%
7%
2%
90 72 18 0
07 Oct. 2018
PSG
PSG
5 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
73%
16%
12%
91 86 5 -1
X