Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
NAP
1 - 0
TOR
48%
27%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAP
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
NAP
0 - 0
CAG
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
VIC
3 - 0
NAP
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
USC
1 - 1
NAP
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
1 - 2
ACM
24%
28%
48%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
58%
24%
18%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
PIA
0 - 2
ACM
24%
27%
49%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
19%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
GIR
3 - 0
ACM
31%
29%
39%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |