Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
VER
0 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 3
TOR
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
PRG
2 - 0
NAP
42%
28%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
44%
28%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
NAP
2 - 2
ATL
73%
19%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
USF
3 - 1
LAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 3
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
PES
1 - 0
LAZ
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |