Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
UDI
0 - 0
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
VKP
2 - 0
NAP
46%
25%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NAP
0 - 0
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NAP
0 - 3
VKP
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NAP
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 0
SIE
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 3
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
JUV
17%
26%
57%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |