Napoli vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
NAP
15%
24%
62%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 2
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
0 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 3
JUV
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAS
3 - 1
INT
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
INT
2 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
EMP
0 - 0
INT
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |