Napoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
VIC
1 - 1
NAP
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
RIM
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 1
NAP
30%
30%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 1
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 0
NAP
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 1
ABN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
VER
0 - 0
CRO
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 2
TRE
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 0
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 3
JUV
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | -1 |