Napoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1961 |
INT
3 - 0
NAP
76%
15%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 4
JUV
16%
20%
65%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
NAP
2 - 2
UDI
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 0
JUV
22%
21%
57%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAT
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAD
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
PAD
3 - 0
SAM
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
PAD
0 - 1
TOR
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |