Supercoppa di Serie C . Final
Global 1-1
Napoli vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 0
NAP
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 0
NAP
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 1
FRO
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 2
NAP
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAP
2 - 0
PRG
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 0
NAP
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
RAV
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRO
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
SPE
21%
28%
51%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |