Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . Last 16
Global 1-4
Napoli vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
40%
31%
29%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
NAP
0 - 0
BRE
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 0
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ACM
1 - 0
NAP
71%
20%
9%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
STU
0 - 0
NAP
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
SVV
0 - 6
AJA
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
RCH
1 - 2
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 1
TEL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
7 - 0
RCH
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |