Napoli vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAP
13%
21%
67%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 1
NAP
9%
19%
71%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VER
1 - 3
NAP
13%
21%
66%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 3
FIO
71%
18%
12%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 3
EIN
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
STU
1 - 0
FCU
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 0
FCU
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 1
NAP
9%
19%
71%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 3
STU
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |