Napoli U19 vs ACR Messina Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
NAP
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
NAP
0 - 1
SIE
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
NAP
0 - 1
CAT
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 0
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MSN
1 - 1
REG
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
MSN
0 - 0
LEC
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MSN
0 - 1
ASC
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
MSN
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 4
MSN
14%
21%
64%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | +1 |