U17 National Championship Italy Group A Round 19

Napoli U17 vs Spezia U17 analysis

Napoli U17 Spezia U17
24 ELO 25
-4.7% Tilt -3.8%
9039º General ELO ranking 10126º
341º Country ELO ranking 374º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Napoli U17
23.3%
Draw
41.7%
Spezia U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
Napoli U17
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.6%
Win probability
Spezia U17
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli U17
+56%
-15%
Spezia U17

Points and table prediction

Napoli U17
Their league position
Spezia U17
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
13
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorentina U17
54
57
100%
Juventus U17
50
51
100%
Parma U17
48
49
100%
Genoa U17
47
48
100%
Bologna U17
45
46
100%
Torino U17
29
32
38.5%
Pisa SC U17
29
32
38.5%
Sassuolo U17
29
29
100%
Napoli U17
10º
25
28
100%
Empoli U17
27
27
10º
100%
Sampdoria U17
11º
23
24
11º
100%
Spezia U17
12º
13
14
12º
100%
Modena U17
13º
3
3
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Napoli U17
Spezia U17
100% 100%

ELO progression

Napoli U17
Spezia U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli U17
Napoli U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
PIS
Pisa SC U17
2 - 0
Napoli U17
NAP
45%
22%
33%
23 23 0 0
29 Jan. 2023
NAP
Napoli U17
2 - 2
Sassuolo U17
SAS
44%
24%
32%
23 24 1 0
22 Jan. 2023
JUV
Juventus U17
3 - 1
Napoli U17
NAP
82%
12%
6%
24 42 18 -1
15 Jan. 2023
NAP
Napoli U17
0 - 5
Genoa U17
GEN
21%
22%
57%
25 36 11 -1
11 Dec. 2022
NAP
Napoli U17
2 - 1
Modena U17
MOD
73%
16%
11%
25 18 7 0

Matches

Spezia U17
Spezia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
SPE
Spezia U17
5 - 0
Modena U17
MOD
80%
13%
7%
25 14 11 0
29 Jan. 2023
PAR
Parma U17
5 - 2
Spezia U17
SPE
59%
20%
20%
25 30 5 0
22 Jan. 2023
SPE
Spezia U17
1 - 1
Bologna U17
BOL
17%
20%
63%
25 38 13 0
15 Jan. 2023
FIO
Fiorentina U17
4 - 1
Spezia U17
SPE
75%
15%
10%
25 36 11 0
18 Dec. 2022
SPE
Spezia U17
0 - 2
Torino U17
TOR
58%
21%
21%
26 23 3 -1