Napoli Sub 17 vs Genoa Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
12º
9º
47
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 2
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 6
BOL
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 2
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 0
TOR
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BOL
6 - 1
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 2
FIO
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
GEN
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |