Naples United vs Miami Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naples United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
6 - 0
MFC
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MIA
2 - 1
NAU
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 1
CFL
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
MIA
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 7
NAU
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Miami Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MDL
0 - 5
CFL
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MDL
3 - 5
MFC
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MDL
0 - 1
MBC
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
MDL
0 - 1
MIA
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
CFL
1 - 0
MDL
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |