Nantwich Town vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 0
HAL
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 1
ILK
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
NAN
5 - 0
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 2
BLY
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
NAN
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
STO
2 - 0
COL
81%
13%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
STO
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
STO
5 - 1
HYD
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
STO
30%
25%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
STO
3 - 1
SKE
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |