Nantes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
REN
23%
25%
53%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 3
JUV
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
3 - 1
NAN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAN
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
LOR
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MPL
1 - 1
LEN
31%
25%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
3 - 1
NAN
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LYO
2 - 1
LEN
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEN
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEN
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |