Nantes vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
GIR
3 - 0
NAN
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
NAN
6 - 1
LYO
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
MON
0 - 6
NAN
3%
15%
82%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
PSG
0 - 0
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
NAN
1 - 3
MET
52%
27%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
CAN
1 - 1
FCG
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
FCG
2 - 0
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
3 - 4
FCG
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 1
FCG
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
FCG
2 - 2
NIO
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |