Nantes II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 0
NAN
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NAN
3 - 2
THO
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
POI
0 - 0
NAN
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 0
BLO
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SAU
3 - 1
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 2
STP
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ANG
6 - 0
BOU
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
THO
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
POI
0 - 0
BOU
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |