Nancy vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1974 |
REN
3 - 0
ASN
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
ASN
0 - 1
NIC
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
ASN
1 - 1
ASS
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
NÎM
1 - 0
ASN
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
ASN
0 - 2
GIR
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1974 |
TRO
3 - 2
ANG
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
GIR
4 - 1
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
TRO
0 - 0
NÎM
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
ASS
2 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
TRO
1 - 3
STR
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |