Nancy vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
NIC
3 - 7
ASN
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
REI
4 - 1
ASN
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ASN
4 - 1
GIR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
ASN
3 - 0
NAN
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
STR
3 - 0
MON
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
PSG
2 - 2
STR
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
STR
3 - 0
LEN
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |