Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ASS
0 - 1
ASN
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
MET
4 - 0
ASN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 1
REI
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
0 - 1
FCG
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
STL
0 - 1
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ESW
1 - 2
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LOR
0 - 0
CLE
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |