Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MPL
0 - 2
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
1 - 2
REN
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 3
ASN
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 3
GIR
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 0
LMU
65%
20%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 1
SLP
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MON
0 - 4
LIL
36%
27%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
4 - 0
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
4 - 3
LYO
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |