Nancy vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASN
57%
25%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 2
PFC
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LPV
0 - 1
ASN
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 1
TRO
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAI
0 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PSG
9 - 0
GUI
87%
10%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 1
REN
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
ASS
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PSG
1 - 2
GUI
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STA
2 - 4
GUI
1%
4%
95%
|
75 | 18 | 57 | 0 |