Nancy II vs Erstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
NAN
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NAN
1 - 2
LUN
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
RCE
2 - 1
NAN
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
PAG
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
AMN
1 - 3
NAN
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Erstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ERS
2 - 1
MET
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ERS
0 - 1
FCM
12%
17%
72%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AMN
0 - 1
ERS
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ERS
4 - 1
MEZ
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +4 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TRE
4 - 0
ERS
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |