Namibia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 2
ZAM
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
NAM
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAM
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
ZIM
3 - 2
NAM
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NAM
1 - 0
ETH
24%
22%
53%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 0
LBY
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
NAM
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
0 - 0
DMA
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ALG
2 - 1
LBY
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |