Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
ALI
3 - 2
NAJ
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
NAJ
0 - 2
ALI
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALH
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ALW
2 - 1
NAJ
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
ALA
2 - 0
NAJ
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALH
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALW
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALN
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALN
20%
25%
54%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALI
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |