Nairn County vs Threave Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NAI
0 - 6
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
3 - 1
NAI
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAI
2 - 1
KEI
70%
17%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
STR
0 - 2
NAI
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NAI
3 - 2
INV
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Threave Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
THR
0 - 2
HBH
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HAW
1 - 6
THR
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
THR
0 - 3
BEJ
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
GLE
4 - 0
THR
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
THR
2 - 1
GLA
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |