Nairn County vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 5
NAI
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NAI
3 - 3
COV
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BRO
4 - 3
NAI
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 3
NAI
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NAI
4 - 1
WIC
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CLA
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HUN
1 - 2
FOR
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 7
FOR
14%
19%
68%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEV
0 - 4
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |