Combined Counties Football League Western League Premier round 26

Nailsea and Tickenham vs St Blazey analysis

Nailsea and Tickenham St Blazey
18 ELO 14
2% Tilt -0.8%
50172º General ELO ranking 21262º
1340º Country ELO ranking 751º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Nailsea and Tickenham
19.4%
Draw
21.4%
St Blazey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
Nailsea and Tickenham
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.4%
Win probability
St Blazey
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nailsea and Tickenham
+41%
+11%
St Blazey

ELO progression

Nailsea and Tickenham
St Blazey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nailsea and Tickenham
Nailsea and Tickenham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
NAT
Nailsea and Tickenham
5 - 1
Torpoint Athletic
TOR
30%
22%
48%
15 19 4 0
20 Apr. 2024
ILF
Ilfracombe Town
1 - 1
Nailsea and Tickenham
NAT
44%
22%
34%
15 15 0 0
13 Apr. 2024
BAR
Barnstaple Town
4 - 0
Nailsea and Tickenham
NAT
82%
11%
7%
16 27 11 -1
09 Apr. 2024
WEL
Welton Rovers
0 - 0
Nailsea and Tickenham
NAT
16%
18%
67%
17 10 7 -1
06 Apr. 2024
NAT
Nailsea and Tickenham
2 - 1
Brixham AFC
BFC
31%
22%
47%
16 20 4 +1

Matches

St Blazey
St Blazey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2024
STB
St Blazey
1 - 1
Saltash United
SAL
31%
22%
48%
14 19 5 0
24 Apr. 2024
MLB
Millbrook
0 - 2
St Blazey
STB
27%
22%
51%
14 10 4 0
20 Apr. 2024
BRI
Bridgwater Town
2 - 0
St Blazey
STB
85%
10%
6%
14 28 14 0
17 Apr. 2024
STB
St Blazey
0 - 1
Torpoint Athletic
TOR
34%
22%
44%
15 18 3 -1
01 Apr. 2024
BFC
Brixham AFC
6 - 0
St Blazey
STB
63%
19%
18%
16 20 4 -1