Nagoya Grampus vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NAG
1 - 1
KAR
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
KAW
1 - 0
NAG
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAG
1 - 1
SAG
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAG
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
NAG
0 - 0
SHI
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
TOK
0 - 0
BLA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OMI
0 - 2
TOK
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TOK
2 - 2
ROA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TOK
1 - 1
TOK
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 1
TOK
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |