Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAG
2 - 1
FCY
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
NAG
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NAG
0 - 1
URA
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
NAG
1 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
KAW
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ALB
3 - 3
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 1
KAR
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 2
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
KAA
2 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |