Nagoya Grampus vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KAR
3 - 3
NAG
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
NAG
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
2 - 0
SHO
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 2
NAG
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
OIT
0 - 1
VEN
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
KAR
3 - 1
OIT
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
CER
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
OIT
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OIT
2 - 2
URA
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |