League Cup Japan Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
URA
0 - 3
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
NAG
1 - 1
KYO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
5 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
3 - 0
NAG
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NAG
2 - 1
GAM
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
0 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
OMI
0 - 3
FCT
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
5 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
3 - 0
NAG
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VIS
0 - 2
FCT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |