J1 League Round 21

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka analysis

Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka
76 ELO 84
17.3% Tilt 3%
419º General ELO ranking 400º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.5%
Nagoya Grampus
25.3%
Draw
46.2%
Cerezo Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Nagoya Grampus
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.2%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nagoya Grampus
-4%
+6%
Cerezo Osaka

ELO progression

Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2020
URA
Urawa Reds
0 - 1
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
47%
25%
29%
75 76 1 0
30 Sep. 2020
VIS
Vissel Kobe
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
58%
21%
21%
75 79 4 0
26 Sep. 2020
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
59%
21%
20%
75 70 5 0
23 Sep. 2020
GAM
Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
50%
24%
26%
75 78 3 0
19 Sep. 2020
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe
VIS
41%
24%
35%
75 78 3 0

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2020
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 3
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
23%
24%
54%
84 88 4 0
27 Sep. 2020
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
2 - 3
Cerezo Osaka
CER
22%
26%
52%
84 70 14 0
23 Sep. 2020
FCT
FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
32%
27%
42%
84 81 3 0
19 Sep. 2020
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
48%
25%
26%
85 81 4 -1
16 Sep. 2020
VIS
Vissel Kobe
0 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
38%
25%
38%
85 78 7 0