Nafpaktiakos Asteras vs Ypatou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
14º
55
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 26 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafpaktiakos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
NAF
1 - 3
TRI
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
NAF
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NAF
3 - 2
CHA
47%
25%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ZAK
1 - 0
NAF
75%
17%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 5
PAN
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Ypatou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
AOI
2 - 0
DGN
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
AOI
28%
30%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AOI
2 - 0
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AST
0 - 2
AOI
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
AOI
2 - 1
ASA
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |