Nacional vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
PAÇ
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOA
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 3
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
UDL
5 - 0
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 2
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
UDL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |