Nacional vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FEI
1 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
NAC
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIL
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
TON
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TON
0 - 0
TRO
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LEX
1 - 1
TON
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
TON
1 - 3
OLI
73%
17%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TON
2 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |