Nacional vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 4
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIO
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BMA
0 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OLH
4 - 4
NAC
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATH
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
SCP
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 1
SCP
14%
24%
62%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 1
MET
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |