Nacional vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIO
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
BMA
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 2
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
OLH
0 - 0
NAC
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
NAV
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
GFC
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
BMA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
VAR
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |