Nacional vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 3
BOA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 1
BEN
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 2
FAM
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
VST
2 - 0
BEL
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 0
GFC
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |