Nacional U19 vs Casa Pia AC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
4º
3º
22
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BLN
0 - 1
NAC
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOR
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
NAC
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOR
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
NAC
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAP
21%
21%
59%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
NAC
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 2
CAP
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 3
BEN
6%
12%
82%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |