Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Serie D Round 17

Nacional U19 vs Alcanenense U19 analysis

Nacional U19  Alcanenense U19
35 ELO 30
-18.8% Tilt -15.5%
6990º General ELO ranking 48650º
151º Country ELO ranking 1179º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Nacional U19
22.3%
Draw
28.3%
Alcanenense U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
Nacional U19
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.3%
Win probability
 Alcanenense U19
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nacional U19
-6%
+22%
 Alcanenense U19

ELO progression

Nacional U19
 Alcanenense U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nacional U19
Nacional U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
RSC
 Real SC U19
3 - 0
Nacional U19
NAC
54%
22%
24%
36 39 3 0
06 Jan. 2024
NAC
Nacional U19
2 - 1
 Sintrense U19
SIN
62%
20%
18%
36 26 10 0
16 Dec. 2023
UDL
União de Leiria U19
2 - 2
Nacional U19
NAC
49%
22%
30%
36 32 4 0
09 Dec. 2023
NAC
Nacional U19
1 - 1
CD Fátima U19
CDF
56%
21%
23%
36 28 8 0
02 Dec. 2023
SAC
Sacavenense U19
2 - 0
Nacional U19
NAC
27%
24%
49%
38 27 11 -2

Matches

Alcanenense U19
 Alcanenense U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
ALC
 Alcanenense U19
1 - 3
CD Mafra U19
MAF
22%
23%
55%
31 48 17 0
06 Jan. 2024
ALC
 Alcanenense U19
4 - 0
 Real SC U19
RSC
21%
20%
59%
27 41 14 +4
16 Dec. 2023
SIN
 Sintrense U19
3 - 2
 Alcanenense U19
ALC
40%
22%
38%
27 25 2 0
09 Dec. 2023
ALC
 Alcanenense U19
3 - 0
União de Leiria U19
UDL
26%
21%
54%
24 34 10 +3
02 Dec. 2023
CDF
CD Fátima U19
2 - 0
 Alcanenense U19
ALC
56%
20%
24%
25 27 2 -1